When compared to traditional markets, the cryptocurrency industry is highly volatile, and the price fluctuations are driven by many factors. After weeks of consolidation in the Ethereum market, volatility has made a comeback. This was noted in the latest report of Coin Metrics.
“This is significant because it follows a period of sustained levels of low volatility not seen since mid-2019. This increase in volatility precedes some significant events, namely the launch of the first phase of ETH 2.0 and, more urgently, the September 25th options expiration.”
With respect to Ethereum’s derivatives market scenario, almost $450m in open interest on ETH options will be expiring on Friday. Considering the fact that this will be the largest expiration date for Ethereum for the options exchange Deribit, which is currently the largest platform [by open interest] offering these contracts, the volatility is likely to add on to the price action of the underlying asset. This could be due to traders looking to “hedge exposure on these positions, work out of them, or possibly take action in the spot market in anticipation”, explained Coin Metrics.
Ether-Bitcoin one-month Implied Volatility notes an uptick
Additionally, the one-month implied spread between Ether and Bitcoin has noted a spike to 22%. The latest uptick in the volatility spread suggests investors are pricing bigger percentage moves in the second-largest cryptocurrency than Bitcoin over the next one month as market participants continued to focus on the growing defi sector and careful of a potential big move in ETH. Notably, over the past couple of months, Ethereum has noted greater price volatility than Bitcoin and is known for leading altcoin rallies.
While the rise in implied volatility does not give the idea of the direction of a price breakout, what it does, however, is it shows the market’s opinion of the underlying asset’s potential moves in the near future. Having said that, volatility has a positive impact on options price as higher the volatility or uncertainty translates to the stronger hedging demand for both call and put options.
Luke has had a long interest in financial technology, especially cryptocurrency and blockchain. With a Bachelors degree in Journalism and Media, Luke is dedicating his writing skills for the digital currency sphere.He can be contacted at firstname.lastname@example.org